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25th April 2016
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Ada apa dengan 24 July 2012 ???
PART 1
Ada apa dengan tanggal 24 - 07 - 2012 ??? Silahkan Sis & Bro cek chart EURJPY & EURUSD pada TF Daily terlihat perubahan trend dari bearish menjadi bullish trend EURJPY & EURUSD masih bullish sampai saat ini.
Saya penasaran dengan fenomena 24 July 2012 Saya penasaran untuk bisa mengetahui kapan perubahan trend dari bullish menjadi bearish untuk EURJPY & EURUSD dimasa mendatang. Langkah awal dicek dulu, ada kejadian apa sajakah pada tanggal 24 - 07 - 2012? Spoiler for Super Poll!! (With Possible Prize Attached): Super Poll!! (With Possible Prize Attached) By Gerry Davies || July 12, 2012 at 11:34 GMT || 109 comments || Add comment When (date and time) will EUR/USD breach the psychological 1.2000. First closest answer bags a wonderful forexlive t-shirt. This should guarantee we don’t ever see it UPDATE: Don’t forget, the TIME as well as the DATE. And please put the time in GMT, thanks Link Spoiler for No Comments On Economy Or Monetary Policy From Bernanke: Link Spoiler for wikipedia: The Euro Plus Monitor report from November 2011 attests to Ireland's vast progress in dealing with its financial crisis, expecting the country to stand on its own feet again and finance itself without any external support from the second half of 2012 onwards.[90] According to the Centre for Economics and Business Research Ireland's export-led recovery "will gradually pull its economy out of its trough". As a result of the improved economic outlook, the cost of 10-year government bonds, has already fallen substantially since its record high at 12% in mid July 2011 (see the graph "Long-term Interest Rates"). At 24 July 2012 it was down at a sustainable 6.3%,[91] and it is expected to fall even further to a level of only 4% by 2015.[92] On 26 July 2012, for the first time since September 2010, Ireland was able to return to the financial markets selling over €5 billion in long-term government debt, with an interest rate of 5.9% for the 5-year bonds and 6.1% for the 8-year bonds at sale.[93] To fight the crisis some governments have focused on austerity measures (e.g., higher taxes and lower expenses) which has contributed to social unrest and significant debate among economists, many of whom advocate greater deficits when economies are struggling. Especially in countries where budget deficits and sovereign debts have increased sharply, a crisis of confidence has emerged with the widening of bond yield spreads and risk insurance on CDS between these countries and other EU member states, most importantly Germany.[12] By the end of 2011, Germany was estimated to have made more than €9 billion out of the crisis as investors flocked to safer but near zero interest rate German federal government bonds (bunds).[13] By July 2012 also the Netherlands, Austria and Finland benefited from zero or negative interest rates. Looking at short-term government bonds with a maturity of less than one year the list of beneficiaries also includes Belgium and France.[14] While Switzerland (and Denmark)[14] equally benefited from lower interest rates, the crisis also harmed its export sector due to a substantial influx of foreign capital and the resulting rise of the Swiss franc. In September 2011 the Swiss National Bank surprised currency traders by pledging that "it will no longer tolerate a euro-franc exchange rate below the minimum rate of 1.20 francs", effectively weakening the Swiss franc. This is the biggest Swiss intervention since 1978.[15] Link Spoiler for EUR/USD: Pressure lower as panic selling continues: EUR/USD: Pressure lower as panic selling continues Tue, Jul 24 2012, 10:48 GMT by Valeria Bednarik | FXstreet.com Independent Analyst Team Vote up: 2Vote down: 0 Share on email Share on print RSS2 The EUR/USD trades inside Monday range this Tuesday, consolidating between 1.2065 and 1.2145, nearing the base of the range as stocks fall strongly following worse than expected Manufacturing data in Europe, and a new record high in Spanish yields, this time at 7.60%. While the bearish trend remains intact, the downside momentum has eased over Asian session and early Europe, although it may be ready to resume: a break below yearly low set yesterday at 1.2066, should trigger further selloff in the pair, towards 1.2020 area first, and 1.1990 later on the day. A correction higher will only be triggered if the pair breaks the roof of this week range at 1.2145: stops start around 1.2150 and higher, and if broken, short covering could send price towards 1.2220 before sellers jump back in. Link Spoiler for EUR/JPY Daily Outlook: EUR/JPY Daily Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 94.38; (P) 94.83; (R1) 95.42; More EUR/JPY formed a temporary low at 94.23 and recovered. Intraday bias is turned neutral for some consolidations first. But upside of recovery should bel limited well below 97.37 minor resistance and bring fall resumption. Below 94.23 will target 61.8% projection of 111.43 to 95.64 from 101.62 at 91.86 next. Though, we'd be cautious on bottoming signal as it approaches 90 psychological level. In the bigger picture, with 111.43 resistance intact, the down trend from 2008 high of 169.96 is still in progress and could extend further lower to 90 psychological level. However, as we're favoring the case that pattern from 139.21 is a falling wedge with bullish convergence condition in weekly MACD. Fall from 111.43 should be the last leg in such pattern. Hence, we'll expect strong support above 88.96 to contain downside, form a major bottom and bring reversal. So, focus will be on reversal signal. Link Spoiler for EUR/USD Daily Outlook: EUR/USD Daily Outlook Daily Pivots: (S1) 1.2074; (P) 1.2109 (R1) 1.2151; More..... Intraday bias in EUR/USD remains on the downside and current fall should target 1.1875 key support level next. On the upside, break of 1.2324 resistance is needed to signal short term bottoming. Otherwise, outlook will remain bearish even in case of recovery. In the bigger picture, fall from 1.4939 is treated as a falling leg inside the consolidation pattern that started at 1.6039 (2008 high) and could extend to 1.1875 low and below. In that case, though, strong support is expected from 1.1639/1875 support zone to contain downside and bring rebound. After all, such consolidation would extend further inside range of 1.1639/6039 for some more time. On the upside, decisive break of 1.2747 resistance will be the first sign of reversal and will turn focus back to 1.3486 for confirmation. Link </div></div></div> 
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